Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SAND prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-25 0.173530 0.206131 0.242709 0.286725 0.338186 0.396382 0.467116
2025-06-01 0.126144 0.168092 0.220342 0.289925 0.379856 0.491832 0.641464
2025-06-08 0.095028 0.138171 0.196312 0.279826 0.396050 0.551300 0.773486
2025-06-15 0.079456 0.124107 0.188274 0.286272 0.431003 0.635466 0.944397
2025-06-22 0.066847 0.111251 0.178785 0.287614 0.456864 0.707812 1.105068
2025-06-29 0.055991 0.098778 0.167316 0.283292 0.472279 0.764937 1.247930
2025-07-06 0.047504 0.088469 0.157311 0.279152 0.486361 0.820172 1.392261
2025-07-13 0.043235 0.084533 0.156976 0.290425 0.526130 0.919313 1.615851
2025-07-20 0.041074 0.083949 0.162151 0.311519 0.584484 1.054276 1.911530
2025-07-27 0.038031 0.081160 0.162857 0.324454 0.629609 1.170761 2.186541
2025-08-03 0.033688 0.075079 0.156510 0.323298 0.648678 1.243038 2.390228
2025-08-10 0.028750 0.066943 0.145005 0.310583 0.644276 1.272047 2.517677
2025-08-17 0.024019 0.058662 0.132459 0.295025 0.634308 1.293073 2.639373
2025-08-24 0.021615 0.055168 0.129415 0.298730 0.663551 1.392495 2.922565
2025-08-31 0.018469 0.049346 0.120416 0.288375 0.662322 1.431738 3.091375
2025-09-07 0.016955 0.047186 0.119247 0.295010 0.697780 1.548105 3.426529
2025-09-14 0.015289 0.044326 0.115998 0.296391 0.721759 1.642919 3.726202
2025-09-21 0.013506 0.040808 0.110615 0.291944 0.731934 1.709236 3.971772
2025-09-28 0.011965 0.037649 0.105619 0.287685 0.741905 1.775873 4.224192
2025-10-05 0.011343 0.036982 0.106904 0.299283 0.790939 1.934145 4.694347
2025-10-12 0.011188 0.037668 0.111866 0.320981 0.867073 2.161166 5.340385
2025-10-19 0.010678 0.037178 0.113561 0.334285 0.923742 2.348266 5.911171
2025-10-26 0.009676 0.034949 0.110067 0.333097 0.943297 2.449462 6.289841